Summary of Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183

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In the "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183" YouTube video, meteorologist Joe Bastardi shares his perspectives on climate change, challenging the prevailing belief that carbon dioxide (CO2) is the sole cause. Instead, he emphasizes the significance of water vapor and its role in temperature changes, particularly in cold and dry areas like the Arctic. Bastardi critiques the media's predictions of disappearing Arctic ice and emphasizes the importance of understanding climate cycles and considering natural phenomena to understand temperature trends. He also advocates for adaptation and critical thinking, dismissing the extreme measures to address climate change, and expresses his skepticism towards climate model predictions and the CO2 focus

  • 00:00:00 In this section of the Tom Nelson Pod #183 YouTube video, guest Joe Bastardi, a chief meteorologist at Weatherbell.com, discusses his skepticism regarding man-made climate change. According to Bastardi, the Arctic's winter warming is not caused by CO2 but water vapor, with the majority of warming taking place in the Arctic where it's brutally cold. Bastardi, who has been working in weather forecasting for over 68 years, believes the buildup of heat in the oceans leads to warmer weather events through stronger signaling mechanisms. Bastardi views the climate situation as a spiritual battle between truth and non-truth, and those who blindly follow models or humans as their "God." He also expressed concerns about limiting individual reach for the heavens and dismissing the good Lord above. Bastardi's perspective challenges the belief in man-made climate change and instead emphasizes the importance of God in understanding weather and climate phenomena
  • 00:05:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183," the speaker, Joe Bastardi, discusses the role of carbon dioxide (CO2) and water vapor in global temperatures. He argues that while CO2 has been increasing since the 1950s, it has not significantly impacted temperatures until more recently. According to Bastardi, CO2's influence is overshadowed by the fact that water vapor, a natural greenhouse gas, warms temperatures most in cold and dry areas. Bastardi uses sea surface temperature data and CO2 emissions graphs to illustrate his points, emphasizing that the oceans, which store 99% of the Earth's energy, have a significant impact on temperature trends. He argues that the lack of significant warming in Arctic and Antarctic regions from the 1950s to the 1990s is evidence that other factors, like water vapor and ocean temperature, were more influential during that period
  • 00:10:00 In this section of the podcast, Tom Nelson discusses his theory on climate change, particularly the role of geothermal activity and ocean temperature. He shares that, based on his observations of ocean warming and the disappearance of hot spots, he believed there was a correlation between mid-ocean seismic activity and ocean heat content, which was causation. The increase in geothermal activity began in the 1990s and caused oceans to warm, eventually leading to super El Ninos that released enormous amounts of water vapor into the atmosphere. The correlation between mid-ocean seismic activity and ocean heat content was found to be significant, with a correlation coefficient of 794 and 79.4% of the variation explained. This shift in heating from the equator towards the poles has major implications for weather patterns and atmospheric circulation
  • 00:15:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183", meteorologist Joe Bastardi explains how tiny amounts of water vapor can have a significant impact on temperature, particularly in cold and dry areas. He uses the example of the Arctic and Antarctic, where warming is occurring most rapidly. Although global temperature is an average, Bastardi emphasizes that humans cannot detect a one-degree Fahrenheit increase over a century, but sudden cooling is a cause for concern. He also discusses the correlation between water vapor and temperature, and how the melting and freezing of ice affects the atmosphere. He criticizes the media for predicting the Arctic ice to disappear, stating it is physically impossible for that to occur unless the Arctic warms during the summer, which it is not doing. Bastardi emphasizes that water vapor plays a crucial role in temperature changes, especially in cold and dry regions, and challenges the prevailing narrative that carbon dioxide is the sole cause of global warming
  • 00:20:00 In this section of the podcast, meteorologist Joe Bastardi discusses the role of water vapor in temperature rise, particularly in the Arctic, where the warmth is taking place in the coldest conditions. He explains that if one gram per kilogram of water vapor across the entire planet causes a 0.75 to 1-degree temperature rise. Using the example of the Arctic, where the red line represents summer temperatures and the blue line represents winter temperatures, he asserts that the warming can't be due to CO2 but rather water vapor. Bastardi encourages people to look at information holistically and criticizes those who only consider certain aspects. He shares his skepticism towards mRNA vaccines and their potential impacts on the body. Returning to the topic of climate change, Bastardi emphasizes the significance of water vapor in Arctic warming, noting that warmer oceans are causing the extra water vapor. He criticizes the lack of focus on this phenomenon and the turning of climate change into a "religion," urging people to question their dogma and consider alternative perspectives
  • 00:25:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183", Joe Bastardi discusses the ocean warming and the role of El Niños in temperature changes over the last 30 years. He explains that the apparent steady rise in temperatures from 1979 to 2015 is not entirely accurate, as temperatures significantly increase during El Niño events. Bastardi also argues against attributing ocean warming solely to CO2 back radiation, and instead suggests the input of water vapor from underwater volcanic activity as a significant factor. He emphasizes that nature plays a significant role in the temperature changes we observe, making it important not to rely solely on complex theories
  • 00:30:00 In this section of the podcast, meteorologist Joe Bastardi expresses his disregard for labels and feelings towards those who criticize his stance on man-made climate change. He emphasizes the importance of understanding climate cycles and shares his forecast for the upcoming hurricane season based on current atmospheric conditions, which he attributes to the warming of the atmospheric base state. He explains that this warming results in stronger easterlies in the Pacific, leading to a different hurricane season pattern, potentially meaning fewer hurricanes in the tropics and more in the North Atlantic. Bastardi also mentions how the atmospheric energy, with CO2 being only a small contributor, plays a crucial role in these patterns and criticizes extreme measures to address climate change
  • 00:35:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183," Joe Bastardi discusses his Bardi Nino index and its importance in understanding El Nino patterns. He explains that current conditions are not considered an El Nino in the atmosphere yet, and this mid-range Bardi Nino index influences winter temperatures. The index takes into account all three components of El Nino, and Bastardi notes that less cloud cover over the tropics can lead to more sun and warming in tropical oceans, particularly over Indonesia and Africa. He also mentions that the Hadley cell, a circulation pattern over the tropics, has disappeared, leading to changes in hurricane seasons and sea surface temperatures, all naturally driven by increased solar radiation and geothermal input. Bastardi criticizes climate models for their inability to accurately account for these natural processes and their reliance on CO2 forcing, resulting in inaccurate predictions
  • 00:40:00 In this section of the podcast titled "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183", Joe Bastardi expresses his frustration with the inaccuracies of climate model predictions and the ignorance of committee members attempting to combat climate change. The discussion revolves around Pennsylvania's energy emissions and the presence of trees, which naturally absorb a significant amount of carbon dioxide. Bastardi dismisses their proposed green policies, asserting that it's a waste of taxpayer money. He also criticizes the reliance on climate model data, as no specific model was identified. Bastardi advocates for adaptation instead of fighting climate change and ending the committee, believing the detected temperature increase is insignificant and causing unnecessary concern
  • 00:45:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183", Joe Bastardi expresses his skepticism towards the focus on reducing CO2 emissions to mitigate climate change. He argues that the climate change debate has become irrational and emotionally charged, with individuals like Greta Thunberg being the face of the movement. Bastardi questions the logic behind the obsession with CO2 emissions when there are more pressing issues, such as poverty and hunger. He also points out that CO2 can be easily removed through methods like building nuclear power plants or capturing carbon emissions. Bastardi also mentions the warming of the northern oceans and the circulation of water, suggesting that the shape of the continents plays a role in this phenomenon
  • 00:50:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183", Joe Bastardi discusses the natural processes causing global temperature changes, focusing on the role of water vapor and geothermal input. He explains that warmer water is naturally pushed into northern oceans due to increased sunshine in the tropics, leading to an equilibrium. He also emphasizes that man-made efforts, such as electric vehicles (EVS), cannot prevent or significantly alter these natural processes. Furthermore, Bastardi notes the expected impact of a shift in geothermal input and solar radiation, and suggests a potential temperature drop in the next couple of years following the recent peak. He encourages being proactive in understanding these natural climate patterns to counterarguments about hurricanes and climate change
  • 00:55:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Joe Bastardi: “Tiny amounts of water vapor warm it where it's coldest” | Tom Nelson Pod #183", Joe Bastardi discusses his weather forecasts, specifically his Hurricane forecast for the upcoming season. He mentions that his clients value accurate forecasts that allow them to take action accordingly, even if they go against the consensus. Bastardi expresses his belief that being able to forecast weather patterns and establish a timeline gives him an opportunity to explain his findings and answer criticisms. He emphasizes the importance of gratitude, love, and work ethic in his weather forecasting career and always striving to answer the question of what he can give back to God for the blessings he's received. The interview concludes with a promotion for Bastardi's book and podcast, Weatherbell.com, where he shares unique historical weather maps and analysis

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Meteorologist Joe Bastardi voiced his concerns in the Tom Nelson Podcast #183 about the excessive reliance on artificial intelligence (AI) models in weather forecasting. Despite their utility, Bastardi contends that AI models cannot fully grasp the intricacies of the atmosphere, particularly in predicting specific events. He advocated for the significance of human expertise, experience, intuition, and historical knowledge in meteorology, warning that overreliance on AI might make meteorologists obsolete. As he prepares for retirement, Bastardi underscored the importance of staying true to one's purpose and prioritizing audience service over personal achievements for career success in the field

  • 01:00:00 In this section of the podcast, meteorologist Joe Bastardi expresses his concerns about the overreliance on artificial intelligence (AI) models in weather forecasting. He argues that while models are useful, they cannot fully capture the complexities of the atmosphere, particularly in predicting specific events. Bastardi stresses the importance of human expertise, experience, and intuition, as well as historical knowledge in weather forecasting. He fears that overreliance on AI may make meteorologists obsolete, but encourages them to maintain their skills and focus on providing value to their clients. Bastardi, who is retiring, believes that the key to success is to stay true to one's purpose and prioritize serving one's audience over personal accolades

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