Summary of David Dilley:  We're definitely going into a global cooling cycle | Tom Nelson Pod #173

00:00:00 - 00:55:00

David Dilley explains in the YouTube video titled "David Dilley:  We're definitely going into a global cooling cycle | Tom Nelson Pod #173" that climate change is based on proven science, but his thesis challenges the notion of global warming alarm that sounded in 1998. He argues that the warming period that began in 1902 and ended in 1998 was a natural global warming cycle, and there have been other natural and recurring global warming cycles that go back to 800 AD. He explains that the hockey stick, which showed that the temperatures in the United States had been increasing steadily over the past thousand years, only accounts for one global warming cycle, and other scientists did not use it in their studies. Dilley believes that natural global warming cycles occur and reoccur, and the hockey stick only accurately represents one period of these cycles. In conclusion, David Dilley argues that there have been six global warming cycles during the past 12,200 years, with the current cycle being in the warm phase and lasting approximately 200-240 years.

• 00:00:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "David Dilley:  We're definitely going into a global cooling cycle | Tom Nelson Pod #173", David Dilly explains that climate change is based on proven science or political science. According to Dilly, the global warming alarm sounded in 1998, when Dr Michael Mann created a graphic known as the hockey stick, which showed that the temperatures in the United States had been increasing steadily over the past thousand years. However, Dilly argues that the hockey stick only accounts for one global warming cycle, which began in 1902 and ended in 1998. Since then, scientists have discovered other natural and recurring global warming cycles that go back to 800 AD. Dilly also explains that the hockey stick only looked at one time period and other scientists did not use it in their studies, which Dilly argues is a problem. In conclusion, Dilly believes that natural global warming cycles occur and reoccur, and that the hockey stick only accurately represents one period of these cycles.
• 00:05:00 In this section of the video, David Dilley discusses the concept of global warming and cooling cycles. According to Dilley, there have been six global warming cycles during the past 12,200 years, with the current cycle being in the warm phase and lasting approximately 200-240 years. The Arctic begins to warm up during these cycles, leading to a decrease in cool air available for the mid-latitudes and eventually resulting in warming of those regions. However, Dilley notes that there have been many climate change cycles during the past 8,000 years, with a total count of about 80. Although some may still believe that the world is in a global warming cycle, Dilley argues that there are signs that we are already entering a global cooling cycle, which will filter down from the Arctic and make less ice available in the mid-latitudes.
• 00:10:00 In this section of the video, David Dilley discusses the current state of global cooling and the continued warming of the Earth. He discusses the fact that the Antarctic winter of 2021 was the coldest on record, and the Arctic in 2022 and 2023 experienced the coldest spring and summer on record. He also addresses the claim that the world is currently warmer than any time in recorded history, which he argues is not entirely accurate due to the limited historical record. Dilley also touches on the use of satellite data to measure global temperatures, which he notes has not been done before. Overall, Dilley suggests that while there is continued warming of the Earth, it is important to consider the context and accuracy of the claims being made about global temperatures.
• 00:15:00 In this section, David Dilley discusses the current global temperature anomalies, which are above or below normal temperature readings. According to satellite data, oceans cover more than 71% of the Earth's surface, and warm ocean water is currently causing an El Niño event, which is warming water in the Pacific Ocean, particularly in the North Pacific, South Pacific, South Atlantic, and Atlantic Oceans. The el Niño event is expected to end in April 2024, which will cause the Pacific Ocean to go into a "pool phase" cycle, where temperatures will cool down significantly. The equator area is also expected to cooler than normal during this period. Additionally, the Atlantic Ocean has also cool phases and warm phases, and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration in the United States takes an average during two cool cycles and ignores the two warm cycles that occurred. This will result in ocean temperature data showing a lower long-term average than the true long-term average when warming begins.
• 00:20:00 In this section, David Dilley discusses the upcoming global cooling cycle, which will begin around 2034 and last until 2074. According to Dilley, the Atlantic Ocean will go into its cool phase during this period, and this will have significant implications for climate change. He explains that warming cycles of the oceans cause a decrease in hurricane landfalls, but cooling down the ocean will result in an increase in hurricane landfalls. Dilley predicts that there will be at least 12 more hurricane landfalls between 2024 and 2032,A natural cycle that is not related to global warming or sea level rise. He emphasizes that we should adjust our forecasts for this upcoming climate change phenomenon.
• 00:25:00 In this section, David Dilley argues that the extreme weather events such as hurricanes, blizzards, snow, floods, and heatwaves that have occurred in recent years are not a result of global warming, but rather global cooling cycles. Additionally, he claims that political science has been forecasting the end of polar ice and continuing warm temperatures for decades, but these predictions are not based on sound scientific evidence. Dilley stresses that climate change research grants have been awarded to studies that connect human activities with burning fossil fuels, with no consideration given to natural climate cycles. As such, scientific research has focused solely on human-induced climate change and has disregarded the importance of studying natural climate cycles. Dilley also provides examples of academic studies that have been altered or distorted in order to avoid exploring the connection between global cooling cycles and climate change.
• 00:30:00 In this section of the video, David Dilley discusses the concept of global cooling cycles and their historical significance. According to Dilley, when the Earth's path around the Sun becomes more elliptical and further away from the Sun, this signalizes the beginning of a glacial cycle or an "ice age." During this period, there is a change in the tilt of the Earth's axis, which results in less solar radiation for the Arctic and Antarctic. After 120,000 years or so, the cycle ends with an interglacial warm period, which marks the end of a long glacial period, followed by a new cycle of global warming. The speaker also notes that these cycles have occurred in the past, and the Earth is currently in an interglacial warm period, which started about 8,000 years ago. However, according to Dilley, human activities such as burning fossil fuels have changed the composition of the Earth's atmosphere and increased the levels of carbon dioxide. The carbon dioxide in the atmosphere contributes to a greenhouse effect and causes the Earth's temperature to rise. Despite this, there are still those who believe that the rise in atmospheric carbon dioxide since 1850 is 80% natural and that human activity is responsible for only 20%.
• 00:35:00 In this section of the YouTube video, David Dilley explains how the scientific community's understanding of Corrections and global weather cycles has evolved over time. He emphasizes that the carbon dioxide in the atmosphere changes rapidly during both global warming and global cooling cycles, and that the values of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere can vary significantly depending on the time period being studied. Dilley also discusses the importance of taking the mean values of carbon dioxide levels over a longer period of time in order to better understand the natural levels of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. Overall, Dilley presents the information presented in his research as proven science, supported by multiple sources including published peer-reviewed journals.
• 00:40:00 In this section, David Dilley discusses the onset of global cooling, stating that it will likely occur in the 20s to 40s and 50s. He explains that the length of global warming cycles is affected by the gravitational cycles of the Moon and Earth, specifically during the parsec gravitational pull, which increases to about 44 to 47% when there is a gravitational cycle that differs from the normal 30 to 40% cycle. Based on his research, Dilley predicts that the next global cooling cycle will begin in about 2024 and will last approximately 93 years. Dilley believes that the interactions between the Earth Moon, Sun, and their gravitational cycles have the biggest influence on short-term global warming and global cooling cycles.
• 00:45:00 In this section of David Dilley's video, he discusses his analysis of the UAH temperature data since 1979, which has shown a significant spike in the last few months that is higher than the 1998 spike. Dilley believes that the peak and endpoint of global warming have been reached, and that the El Niño event in April-May of 2024 will cause ocean temperatures to no longer be able to claim it as the warmest year on record. He sees a reversal of the gradual warming trend that has been observed over the past four decades, and predicts a colder winter across much of the United States and Europe. He cites the National Weather Service, the Farmers' Almanac, and his own experiences at his summer cottage in Maine as evidence that things are starting to return to normal.
• 00:50:00 In this section, David Dilley discusses his predictions for the Keeling curve data for CO2, stating that he believes it will go down rather than continuing to increase. He mentions that global cooling cycles have historically led to decreases in carbon dioxide, and suggests that additional industrial CO2 will be offset by this natural decrease. Dilley also discusses the topic of carbon capture and storage, stating that he doesn't believe this technology is necessary as the carbon dioxide levels will go down naturally. He argues that plants are healthier during higher carbon dioxide levels and that the earth as a whole is healthier during these periods. He also discusses the importance of carbon dioxide for plant life, which provides oxygen for animal life on earth. Finally, he touches on the topic of heat pumps and their efficiency in different latitudes, stating that heat pumps in the far northern latitudes may shut down during cold winters with global cooling.
• 00:55:00 In this section, David Dilley discusses the issue of replacing oil and gas furnaces with heat pumps in Northern latitudes. While this may seem like a good idea at first, it can actually lead to problems during the winter months. If all homes were electric and relied solely on heat pumps, the demand on the electrical grid during cold snaps could be so great that there would be brownouts or power outages with no backup heat. This could cause significant damage to a home, including broken water pipes and the potential for people to freeze to death without heat. Additionally, heat pumps do not currently have emergency services, which means that if one breaks during the winter months, it could be several days before help arrives. Dilley emphasizes the need for backup heat and alternative sources of power in order to ensure that people stay safe and comfortable during the upcoming global cooling cycle.