Summary of S&P 500 Bear Market

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00:00:00 - 00:15:00

The video discusses the current bear market and argues that a recession is likely to happen in 2023. It provides a history of the stock market and explains how the Federal Reserve can sometimes cause it to go down.

  • 00:00:00 The author of the video discusses the S&P 500 and the current bear market, which has been ongoing since 2022. He points out that while the market could theoretically break at any time, there is a high probability of a recession happening in 2023.
  • 00:05:00 The market again appears to be following the same pattern of crisis that occurred in 2008-2009. Yield curves invert when a recession is imminent, and the unemployment rate is still relatively low. This suggests that the market is not yet fully recognizing the potential for a recession.
  • 00:10:00 The author argues that the S&P 500 will likely not reach its all-time high again until after the unemployment rate has not gone up in a sustained way, and the Federal Reserve achieves a soft landing.
  • 00:15:00 The video provides a history of the stock market and explains how it can sometimes go down after the Federal Reserve does something that's seen as being too dovish. It also provides information about the different tiers of subscription, and how free access is available to those who sign up for it.

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