Summary of Tiedustelueverstin arvio Venäjästä | 3.12.2018

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00:00:00 - 01:00:00

This video discusses the history of Russia and how it has influenced the country's thinking on dealing with crises and threats. It explains that the theory of strategic culture helps to understand why Russia behaves in certain ways, and suggests that it can be used to predict future events.

  • 00:00:00 The speaker discusses how Russian thinking about how to deal with crises and threats is based on historical factors. He notes that different historical periods have had a significant impact on Russian thinking, specifically the time of Mongol rule, Byzantine influence, and the Soviet Union. He explains that the theory of strategic culture helps to understand why Russia behaves in certain ways, and suggests that it can be used to predict future events.
  • 00:05:00 This video discusses how the Russian mentality, rooted in their history and genetics, leads to a preference for authoritarianism and a lack of trust in the population. Russianness, or orthodoxy, autocracy, and narodnost, are all discussed in relation to Russian history and culture.
  • 00:10:00 This video discusses the history of Russia and the role of the boyars. It explains that the boyars were a group of nobles who served as advisors to the tsars, and that during the Soviet era, they retained some power. However, since Vladimir Putin's rise to power in 2000, the power of the boyars has gradually decreased. This is in part due to Putin's crackdown on corruption, which has made it more difficult for corrupt nobles to maintain their power.
  • 00:15:00 The video is a transcript of a speech given by Russian Patriarch Kirill, in which he discusses the role of the people in the Russian system. He notes that, during the Soviet era, the people were taught to believe that it was their duty to sacrifice themselves for the Tsar. However, after the Soviet Union began to collapse, Yuri Levada estimated that the 'Homo Sovieticus' was on the brink of extinction.
  • 00:20:00 The video discusses the views of Russian citizens on the benefits and drawbacks of the break-up of the Soviet Union, and how these views have not changed over the years. It highlights the role of the media in shaping these views, and how the current Russian government is able to stay in power by using a narrative of constant war with the West. It also mentions how the views of Russian citizens on the benefits and drawbacks of the break-up of the Soviet Union differ depending on their age and location.
  • 00:25:00 The speaker discusses how the Soviet Union no longer appears to be an ally to the United States, based on policy changes and changes in Russian behavior in the air and information space. He mentions that former Russian leaders are involved in various aspects of Russian business and politics, and that the real information influence of Russia may be happening elsewhere.
  • 00:30:00 The Russians have a history of saving Europe from various threats, and they continue to do so today. This is remembered in military parades and statues of historical figures. Pushkin, a Russian poet, is famous for his poem The Bronze Horseman, which tells the story of the founding of the city of St. Petersburg. The poem is often interpreted positively by Finns, who see it as an image of themselves.
  • 00:35:00 The video discusses the history and use of lies in Russia. It points out that Russian lies are often based on tactical truths, which are accepted as long as they are used for the benefit of the group. This differs from the more absolute truths in the United States, which are seen as unacceptable lies.
  • 00:40:00 This video discusses the concept of "tiedustelueverstin," or "doublethink," which is a term used by Russian author Masha Gessen to describe the ways in which Russians deal with the conflicting truths of their society. The video notes that this concept is different from the idea of "lie" or "truth" in the west, and that it can be used to manipulate people. It also discusses the concept of "tactical truth" and how it is used by the Russian government.
  • 00:45:00 The video discusses the Russian fear of turmoil, specifically referring to the 1990s and Romanov's rise to power. It notes that Putin has elevated a judo buddy, Viktor Zolotov, to a high ranking position and that he is trustworthy because he has been loyal to Putin for many years. The video also discusses Navalnyj's efforts to challenge Zolotov on corruption and Zolotov's response.
  • 00:50:00 This video discusses how, according to a recent survey, Russians have a nostalgic view of the Soviet Union, which they believe was a much better time than the present. The author also points out how, despite several years of democracy, Russia remains an authoritarian state with rampant corruption. The video concludes with comments from a Russian schoolboy and student about how they believe Putin's rule has been good for the country.
  • 00:55:00 This video discusses the possible future of Russia, focusing on the possible outcomes of Putin's retirement and the rise of protests. Both candidates for Putin's successor are rated as being successful, but one has a more difficult track record.

01:00:00 - 01:00:00

The speaker discusses the potential consequences of Russia not bouncing back economically by 2030, and suggests that this could lead to a change in government. He argues that if this happens, it could have a negative impact on the rest of the world.

  • 01:00:00 The speaker discusses the potential consequences of Russia not bouncing back economically by 2030, and suggests that this could lead to a change in government.

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