Summary of 煙花也不’清零‘了？面對全民抗爭習近平全面退守；普京聖誕單方面停火意味著放下武器，美歐反而加碼，希望俄烏打下去？這是哪一出【江峰漫談20230106第610期】

00:00:00 - 00:20:00

[The Yangtze River] The host discussed the concept of privacy and security in the second section. He recommended consumers use NordVPN as it was a VPN service that did not record user activity or data and could protect up to six devices simultaneously with a fast speed in over 59 countries and over 5,600 servers. NordVPN also provides a risk-free choice with a 30-day free trial and a special discount offer when listeners use an exclusive link and code. The host also discussed political and social changes happening in China and its impact on people's emotions. He argued that the shifting political and social dynamics were positive developments as China's democratic movement started to emerge, with the central government's authority being challenged by local governments. Meanwhile, conflicts in Hong Kong caused by the use of gunpowder to express dissatisfaction with the Chinese government, were seen as a challenge to the government's political power. The host used the example of Putin's decision to cease hostilities on Christmas Day as a way of combining international relations, politics, and history/military elements. He emphasized the need for a peaceful resolution but acknowledged that negotiations may be difficult due to a lack of support from the West and other countries.

• 00:00:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "煙花也不'清零‘了？", the host discusses the current state of the world and how many people are struggling to keep up with the pace of life. According to the host, the entire country is under a state of fear and anxiety, with every person feeling that they are at risk of falling into a deep abyss if they don't have something to hold onto. The host raises the issue of how people can protect themselves and their loved ones during these troubling times. He discusses the impact of the pandemic on people's lives and the difficulty in obtaining accurate information.”
• 00:05:00 In this section, the speaker discusses the concept of privacy security and recommends the use of NordVPN. NordVPN is described as a VPN service that does not record any user activity or data and can protect up to six devices simultaneously. The service is also mentioned as having a fast speed in over 59 countries with over 5,600 servers. The speaker encourages viewers to take advantage of NordVPN's special discount offer by using their exclusive link and code. The discount offers a free four months when purchasing a two-year subscription plan. The speaker also mentions that 30 days of free trial are provided by NordVPN in case of any dissatisfaction, making it a risk-free choice. Other than privacy, the speaker also discusses the political and social changes happening in China. He mentions the "white paper revolution" and how it has led to changes in the government's strict anti-virus policies. Although the Hong Kong authorities have been accused of using tear gas and violence to suppress political protests, the speaker argues that the protests are a legitimate form of democratic expression and are not violent. He also mentions a recent New Year's Eve fireworks tradition in China, which has become a popular way for people to express their free will with large-scale gatherings. Overall, the speaker argues that these events signal a significant shift in Chinese society's political and social dynamics. The central government's authority is being challenged by local governments, and the social impact on the people's emotions is also becoming more significant. The speaker sees this as a positive development, as China's political power is weakening, and its democratic movement is starting to emerge.
• 00:10:00 In this section, the speaker discusses the conflicts that occurred in Hong Kong when people used gunpowder to scatter away "evil spirits" and create a festive atmosphere. The speaker notes that this act was not only a tradition, but also a way of expressing dissatisfaction with the Chinese government's "'zero-tolerance"' policy and its responsibility for the current situation. The speaker also points out that this was a challenge to the government's political power. Since the Chinese government is now taking a more "soft" approach, people are facing some feelings of helplessness and frustration. The speaker uses the example of Putin's decision to cease hostilities on Christmas Day as a way of combining international relations, politics, and history/military elements. The speaker notes that if Putin loses the war, his power and family wealth may be at risk, but it may also be a bargaining chip for negotiations with the West and Russia. The speaker uses the example of the Putin-Biryuzov relationship, noting that there were hints of a close relationship when Putin visited Biryuzov in Russia in 2013. The speaker concludes that this is a good time to negotiate a peaceful resolution. However, the speaker also acknowledges that Putin may not have the necessary support from the West and other countries.
• 00:15:00 In this section of the transcript, the speaker discusses the current situation in Ukraine and its impact on the world. According to the speaker, Putin's decision to pull back from his earlier aggressive actions against Ukraine signals the end of his political career. Moreover, such actions have removed his legal and security safe haven. Therefore, they have made it difficult to negotiate peace, which is why Christmas has been called off. The speaker argues that Putin's willingness to interrupt his war effort suggests that he has come to realize that he cannot win. This is especially true after Ukraine announced that it will join NATO, which would make any invasion even more difficult for Putin's soldiers. However, the speaker also highlights how Putin has been shamed by the international community for starting the war in the first place, and this pressure has put him in a difficult position where he has to make concessions. The speaker believes that the international community's condemnation of Putin's actions has created a situation where he cannot afford to appear weak, and this has led him to withdraw from the war effort.
• 00:20:00 In this section of the video, the speaker discusses the changing goals and priorities in the face of the Ukraine-Russia conflict and the sanctions imposed on Russia, including the violation of Luhansk and Donbas ceasefires. The speaker suggests that the western powers want to eliminate Putin and end the war, but achieving mutual security may require more forms of armed conflict, potentially leading to devastating consequences. They also mention concerns about the vulnerability of Ukrainian and other troop concentrations, and the possibility of chemical and biological attacks by Russia leading to a wider global danger. The speaker emphasizes the importance of remembering past attempts to appease evil and maintains a pessimistic outlook for the future.