Summary of Political Future of Russia: Public talk in St Paul's church, London. Organized by the Pushkin House

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00:00:00 - 01:00:00

This public talk in London focuses on the political future of Russia, discussing the values that drive the Kremlin and the current state of affairs. The speaker argues that Russia is in a dire strait and that its current political model is based on the opposite principle of fascism.

  • 00:00:00 The speaker introduces Berlin-based scholar Elena Sudakova and BBC journalist Grigor Attenson, and explains that their discussion will focus on the political future of Russia. Sudakova points out that, despite the efforts of brave activists, many Russians see their destiny as belonging to themselves, rather than to the stars.
  • 00:05:00 The speaker gives a public talk on the political future of Russia, describing how the country has changed since the early 1990s and how it is further away from the rest of Europe. He notes that Russians have an illusion of understanding Ukraine, as they have few relatives living there currently. However, he points out that the two societies have diverged greatly in the past few decades, and that the current political situation is due to the process of learning and adaptation.
  • 00:10:00 The speaker provides a perspective on the current political landscape in Russia, discussing the diverging interests of the government and the public. He argues that this divergence is what led to the war in Ukraine, and that it will continue to lead to future problems.
  • 00:15:00 The speaker discusses the political future of Russia, noting that while the recent elections may seem like a change, they are really just a continuation of the current regime. He discusses the importance of values and how understanding the values of a country can help to predict its future. He discusses the World Value Survey, which is a study of the changing values in different countries.
  • 00:20:00 In the video, a public talk is given in London on the political future of Russia. The talk surveys values that drive the Kremlin, noting that Russian Society is high on the vertical axis of the traditional versus secular rational values axis, and low on the horizontal axis of values of survival and self-preservation. The divorce rates and abortion rates are high, indicating a society that tolerates self-expression less than other societies. Economic development is linked to values of self-expression and progress, while the elites in Russia are a parody of the worst features of the population.
  • 00:25:00 In his talk, Vladimir Gelman discusses the paradoxical nature of Russia's public administration, which is lower quality than would be natural for a country with similar levels of urbanization, literacy, and GDP per capita. He also cites as reasons for Russia's current state of affairs the lack of Monopoly on political violence, the lack of Democracy participation, and the lack of diversity of offers. He argues that Russia is actually a fascist state, and goes on to list nine reasons.
  • 00:30:00 The speaker discusses the political future of Russia, noting that it is in a dire strait because of its failed state of affairs. He argues that Russia is not fascist, and that its current political model is based on the opposite principle of fascism.
  • 00:35:00 The speaker discusses the political future of Russia, noting that while there is no one system or model that is always responsible for crime, violence, and misfortune, totalitarian fascism does seem to fit the description. He goes on to say that, while genocide committed by Russia in Ukraine could be called genocide, it is an opinion rather of an actual genocide.
  • 00:40:00 The speaker discusses the political future of Russia, noting that the government is using propaganda to try to re-educate the population and that the current military operations in Ukraine are based on lies. He suggests that the society needs to do more to prevent its soldiers from lying and acting out of spite.
  • 00:45:00 The speaker discusses the public perception of Russia, noting that while many people view Russia as a brutal, autocratic state, many Russian people understand its strengths and weaknesses intuitively. He notes that while Russia has its great points of activity, it is also plagued by lies and propaganda, making it difficult for outsiders to understand.
  • 00:50:00 The speaker at this public talk in London explains that, while Russia has many strengths, its political leadership is weak due to several factors, including pandemic-era difficulties passing legislation, public discontent, and the country's attention to public opinion. However, the speaker believes that the country's ability to quell protests and its responsiveness to public opinion are its strengths.
  • 00:55:00 The speaker discusses how being an active political citizen can be difficult in Russia, as the government tries to force a mass politization. She also notes how the recent focus on politics has brought people closer together, but warns that this can also create an atomized society where people are distrustful of each other. The speaker suggests that instead of teaching people how to be political, society should focus on developing mutual help and understanding.

01:00:00 - 01:45:00

This video discusses the political future of Russia, noting that while the country may be facing some difficulties, there is still hope for its future. The speaker recommends reading books to escape the current news cycle and suggests that 12 steps need to be taken in order for Russia to free itself from Putin.

  • 01:00:00 The speaker discusses the political future of Russia, noting that while there have been many changes in recent years, the country is still undergoing a process of transformation. She discusses the concept of fresh contact, which she defines as the first stage of becoming an adult. This fresh contact determines an individual's ideas about how Society works and how they communicate with others. The speaker discusses the role of social media in this process, noting that while it is not a proper place for discussing politics, it is a useful tool for connecting with like-minded people.
  • 01:05:00 This video presents the political future of Russia, focusing on the role of age in determining opinions on the war. The speaker suggests that Putin and his government are not supported by the younger generation, and that this is a result of a mobilization campaign focused on the 55+ age group.
  • 01:10:00 In his talk, the speaker advises those who hope for a better future for Russia to do their best to help from afar, especially by volunteering their time and resources. He advises caution, however, noting that the risks are high if one is mistaken about the future. He also advises maintaining contact with friends and family in Russia, even if they have opinions that drive one crazy.
  • 01:15:00 The speaker discusses the political future of Russia, noting that while the country may be living its last months or weeks, it is nonetheless unique and has potential to be something else. He goes on to say that Russians are less used to racial diversity than people in European capitals, and that the country may be experiencing the last stages of disintegration of its Soviet Imperial project.
  • 01:20:00 Aliana from Russia talks about her homeland, the Republic of Kalmikia, and the difficulties faced there due to the government's mobilizations against national minorities. She notes that the situation is not unique to her home country, and that similar situations happen all over the world. She goes on to talk about the work her organization is doing helping refugees escape Russia.
  • 01:25:00 The speaker discusses the political future of Russia, noting that the current system is not sustainable and that the government is likely to be less eager to answer requests from other National Republics.
  • 01:30:00 The speaker presents a critique of Russian leaders, suggesting that they are naive and childish. He asks whether anyone would be able to stop an autocrat if they made the decision to use nuclear weapons.
  • 01:35:00 This speaker discusses the political future of Russia, noting that while the current situation is not ideal, there is still hope. He recommends reading books to escape the current news cycle.
  • 01:40:00 The speaker discusses how Russia can free itself from Putin, and offers 12 steps to doing so. Steps include organizing and encouraging mutual activity, and discouraging leaders from being targeted.
  • 01:45:00 The speaker talks about the future of Russia, noting that the old way of governing is no longer possible due to a number of factors, including exhaustion of resources, political mistakes, and generational change. The masses are increasingly active politically, thanks to the internet and YouTube, and are beginning to understand what's going on. However, the speaker says that this is only a partial success, as the elites have not yet realized the need to adapt to the changing environment. The speaker recommends reading the works of Vladimir Lenin, as they can provide useful advice on how to achieve power and keep it.

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