Summary of TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible un guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*

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00:00:00 - 01:00:00

In the YouTube video titled "Tambores de Guerra en El Este: Is it possible a war with Russia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. Garat*," ex-Admiral Juan Rodriguez Garat discusses the ongoing conflict between Russia and Europe, emphasizing that wars are initiated by leaders seeking power, glory, and personal gain. He uses the example of Putin's decision to escalate the situation in Ukraine against Russia's best interests as evidence. Garat also warns that if Europe is not prepared, wars will continue to occur. The discussion also covers the role of disinformation in shaping public opinion, the use of bots to spread false narratives, and the geopolitical implications of conflicts in Ukraine and between Russia and the West. The speakers emphasize the importance of upholding human rights principles and the dangers of autocratic systems. They also touch upon the ongoing conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the potential implications of US aid to Ukraine, and the role of spies and intelligence operations in Europe. Throughout the conversation, the speakers express concern over the potential for a full-scale war between Russia and Europe and the devastating consequences it could have.

  • 00:00:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "Tambores de Guerra en El Este: Is it possible a war with Russia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. Garat*," ex-Admiral Juan Rodriguez Garat discusses the possibility of a war between Russia and Europe. He emphasizes that despite technological advancements and the potential for devastating consequences, the fundamental motivation for war remains the same: leaders seeking power, glory, and personal gain. Garat argues that Putin's decision to escalate the situation in Ukraine against Russia's best interests demonstrates this point. He concludes by warning that if Europe is not prepared, wars will continue to occur.
  • 00:05:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," Juan discusses the motivations behind wars and the ongoing conflict between Russia and the East. He emphasizes that wars are not initiated by nations or people but by their leaders. Prosing, a military analyst, previously stated that the war in Donbas had little to do with liberating the region but rather with egos and interests of certain military members. Prosing also mentioned that Russia's oligarchs were not concerned about the war escalating, as they had a refuge in Siberia in case of a nuclear attack. However, this is not entirely consoling, as the loss of life is a significant concern. The speakers also note that while wars are more common in autocracies, they can also occur in democratic regimes. They warn that autocratic systems, which often lack control from the people and have no freedom of press to criticize their leaders, could converge with the international understanding of human rights as outlined in the UN Charter and the Universal Declaration of Human Rights. The speakers are not advocating for Western supremacy but rather emphasizing the importance of upholding these principles for all nations.
  • 00:10:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the difficulty of war between two democracies and the role of disinformation in shaping public opinion. He argues that a president with a lifetime mandate is more susceptible to corruption than one with a limited term, but the power of disinformation cannot be underestimated, especially when it comes from a global superpower like Russia. The speaker recalls how the American public believed weapons of mass destruction had been found in Iraq six months after the war, despite no evidence being found. He emphasizes that in a country with a lot of information, people may rely on the official message, which can be manipulated through disinformation campaigns on social media. The speaker also mentions that France's government accused Russia of running disinformation campaigns on social media and that some media outlets, such as Tas and RIA Novosti, are used as sources of information and repeated in various media outlets. The speaker acknowledges that the inner workings of Russia's disinformation campaigns are unclear but emphasizes the importance of understanding the mechanisms and the role of bots in spreading false information.
  • 00:15:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the use of bots and alternative narratives to sow doubt and manipulate public opinion, specifically in the context of the Moscow attack and the involvement of Ukraine and Belarus. The speaker notes that Russian propaganda initially spread false information about the attack, which was then picked up and amplified by bots and their human allies on the internet. This created confusion and doubt, allowing Putin to undermine support for Ukraine without directly convincing people that invading it was a good idea. The speaker also mentions the case of the Kramatorsk bombing, where Russia initially blamed Ukraine for the attack but bots spread false narratives that the opinions criticizing Ukraine came from Spain, despite there being no evidence of this. The speaker concludes by emphasizing the impact of these disinformation tactics in creating doubt and confusion, making it difficult to distinguish between reliable and unreliable sources.
  • 00:20:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the topic of disinformation and Russian campaigns of destabilization, specifically focusing on the 2014 annexation of Crimea and the subsequent conflict in eastern Ukraine. The speaker argues that while the UN, OCDE, and other sources report that around 15,000 people were killed in the conflict, Russian sources claim that 3500 civilians were killed, with some even claiming that all the deaths were civilians, including children. The speaker points out that this is a false narrative, as evidenced by a graph from the World Bank showing that the number of deaths had been decreasing since 2015, when Ukrainian forces suffered a defeat in the Donbas region and accepted a humanitarian corridor, leading to a reduction in fighting. The speaker also criticizes Russian officials and media for spreading this false narrative, which has been ongoing for six months, despite the fact that it takes months to prepare for an invasion.
  • 00:25:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," Almirante J.R. Garat discusses the issue of misinformation and bots on the internet, specifically in relation to the Russian population and their perception of news sources. He emphasizes that people should be aware of this phenomenon and not rely solely on one source, as there is a significant amount of false information circulating online. Garat also mentions the BBC's decision to give equal airtime to flat-earthers, which he believes is a weakness in Western media. He argues that while we should value freedom of speech, we should not encourage or promote imbecility. Additionally, Garat touches upon Russia's use of disinformation and desestabilization as weapons in their hybrid warfare, financing political groups on both extremes to create division and confusion among the population.
  • 00:30:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. Garat*," the speaker discusses the common ground between the extreme right and left in Europe regarding their opposition to the United States and Russia. The speaker explains that the anti-American sentiment is rooted in nationalism and a desire for sovereignty on both sides. From the right, it is understandable as they prioritize their own nations over a more powerful empire. However, from the left, it is less justifiable as they favor radical Islam or Russian nationalism over American democracy, despite its flaws. The speaker notes that this anti-American sentiment is a lingering residue of the Cold War era. Both the extreme right and left in Europe would defend anyone who opposes the United States, be it Russia or another power. The speaker also mentions that Putin's defense of traditional values and opposition to LGBT rights resonates with both the extreme right and the third world, despite Putin's human rights violations. The speaker expresses surprise that Putin's actions do not garner significant support from the left. The conversation then shifts to disinformation and the recent terrorist attack in Europe that claimed the lives of over 150 people. The speaker emphasizes that such attacks are just as devastating as those in a war scenario, regardless of the context.
  • 00:35:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the origins of ISIS and the accusations made by Russia against Ukraine regarding terrorism. The speaker emphasizes that terrorism is never justifiable and that both terrorism and torture are illegitimate. He also criticizes Russia for attempting to use terrorism to further its own causes, such as accusing Ukraine of being terrorists while publicly treating actual terrorists in a brutal manner. The speaker urges listeners to understand that supporting Ukraine is not only a strategic necessity but also a moral obligation, as it is unacceptable for a population of 40 million people to be treated in such a way.
  • 00:40:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," former Admiral J.R. Garat discusses the alleged torture of prisoners in Russia and its implications. He points out that while some countries have capital punishment, torturing prisoners is not acceptable in a state of law. Garat suggests that the leaked footage of torture, which some believe to be from Russia, was an intentional demonstration of power rather than an actual occurrence within the country. He also mentions that the recent terrorist attack in Moscow was not primarily targeted against Russian citizens but rather a power struggle between ISIS and the Taliban. Garat emphasizes the geopolitical significance of the conflict between ISIS and the Taliban, as well as the growing relationships between Afghanistan, China, and Russia. He concludes by noting that terrorist groups like ISIS use violent acts to gain support and maintain their position in the terrorist hierarchy.
  • 00:45:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. Garat*," the speaker discusses the geopolitical tensions between Spain and Russia, focusing on Russia's alleged involvement in Spanish internal affairs and potential espionage activities. The speaker expresses concern over Russia's failure to condemn terrorist attacks in Iran and Spain, as well as its support for causes that weaken Spain. He also mentions the investigation into rumors of a Russian base in Spain and the passing of certain laws in the Spanish parliament that limit diplomatic immunity. The speaker is convinced that Russia will interfere in Spanish elections to support candidates favorable to them. He acknowledges that Spain has historically been a non-aggressor and that espionage is a common diplomatic practice, but emphasizes the importance of being aware of the information one handles and the potential consequences of actions.
  • 00:50:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, focusing on the military aspects of the war. He mentions the role of spies and intelligence operations in Europe, specifically referencing a German military chief whose video conference was allegedly intercepted by Russian intelligence. The speaker also touches upon the idea that the war is at a stalemate, with neither side able to gain a significant advantage militarily. He suggests that the future of the conflict may depend on factors beyond the battlefield, such as societal will and leadership changes. The speaker reiterates his belief that the war is unlikely to result in a clear victory for either side and that both countries may eventually tire of the conflict and withdraw.
  • 00:55:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia and the potential implications of US aid to Ukraine. The speaker notes that despite heavy fighting and the fall of several cities, neither side has the capability to end the war, even with US involvement. He also mentions the political implications of US aid, as it may lead to a weakening of the Republican speaker of the House of Representatives, who is facing a challenge from his own party. The speaker also compares the situation to Spain's resistance against the Soviet Union and expresses doubt that Russia would risk a full-scale invasion of Ukraine, as it would face insurgency and potential international backlash. He concludes by stating that the situation could become sustainable if Russia were to limit its occupation to certain areas, but Putin's actions in the conflict have been erratic, and the speaker does not believe Russia would make the mistake of attempting to take all of Ukraine.

01:00:00 - 02:00:00

In the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," retired Rear Admiral J.R. Garat discusses the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, focusing on the role of drones, nuclear weapons, and international waters. Garat emphasizes the importance of drones in modern warfare, with both sides using them extensively in Ukraine. He also expresses concern over the vulnerability of Ukraine's drone systems and the potential threat posed by Russia. Regarding nuclear weapons, Garat believes that while Russia's vast arsenal is a concern, the real danger lies in the unpredictability of countries like Iran and North Korea. He also shares his belief that Putin would not use nuclear weapons without serious provocation. The conversation then touches upon the use of international waters for military exercises and ongoing disputes between Spain and Morocco. Garat emphasizes the importance of communication and respecting each other's sovereignty to prevent potential conflicts. Throughout the discussion, Garat emphasizes the importance of understanding the political and societal complexities of various situations and maintaining a critical stance towards media and information sources.

  • 01:00:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," Rear Admiral J.R. Garat discusses the importance of the Mar Black Sea in the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia. He explains that while the Russian navy does not pose a significant military threat, attacking it can be a propaganda tool and a way to humiliate Putin. The Admiral also mentions the importance of the agreed-upon corridor between Ukraine and Russia, which Ucrania unilaterally opened, leading to a source of national pride for the Ukrainians. He also touches upon the use of drones and the vulnerability of Russian amphibious ships. Despite the limited role of the Russian navy in the conflict, the Admiral is surprised by Russia's underutilization of its submarine fleet.
  • 01:05:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the military capabilities of Ukraine and Russia. The speaker notes that Ukraine's determination to keep fighting is evident, but Russia's vast army is a formidable opponent. However, the importance of Russia's military camps and their depletion is also a concern. While Russia has a large population, there is a lack of willingness to fight among its people. Russia is reportedly taking extreme measures to replenish losses, including offering amnesty to criminals and recruiting immigrants. The speaker also mentions that Russia's claims of new car production are false, as most of the vehicles are outdated models that require lengthy reconversion periods. The speaker concludes that while the material Russia had stockpiled is not the most important factor in the Ukraine conflict, the lack of new, effective car production could impact the war's outcome.
  • 01:10:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," retired military officer J.R. Garat discusses the ongoing conflict in Ukraine and the role of drones in modern warfare. According to Garat, Russia's tanks cannot operate in open spaces due to the abundance of drones on both sides, making munitions and missiles their priority needs. Russia is reportedly trying to acquire these weapons from Iran and North Korea. The balance of power is more equilibrated than it appears when considering the number of soldiers or tanks, as the real battle is in the technological race between drones and electronic warfare systems. Ucrania is currently winning this race, and Europe should invest heavily in this area as well. The war in Ukraine is a stalemate, and while drones are becoming increasingly important, Russia could still advance with a brigade of tanks, but they would be stopped by anti-tank missiles. However, these tactics do not protect against drone attacks. Garat suggests that instead of competing with Russia in producing similar weapons, Europe should seek asymmetrical solutions, such as exploiting the weaknesses of these new media. The United States had great success against the Iraqi Republican Guard using such tactics, and Europe should consider adopting a similar approach.
  • 01:15:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," retired Admiral J.R. Garat discusses the vulnerability of Ukraine's drone systems and the potential threat posed by Russia. He mentions that the drones, which are mostly commercial models without protective systems, can be easily taken down or controlled. Garat also talks about the strategic importance of the city of Donetsk for Ukraine but not for Russia. He believes that the loss of the airport in Donetsk was a wake-up call for the West, particularly Europe, to defend themselves. Garat expresses concern that Europe may not be prepared for defense and that the US also has its own issues. He suggests that Europe cannot depend on the US for everything and that the invasion of Ukraine benefits Europe the most in terms of raising its voice in the world. Garat warns that the US may once again retreat into isolationism, as it did in the past, and cause harm to Europe. He expresses his hope that the American people's voice will be accepted but acknowledges that it may lead to another war.
  • 01:20:00 In this section, former Almirante J.R. Garat discusses the military threat Russia poses in a potential war against NATO, focusing on the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. He argues that Russia's conventional military power is insignificant compared to European nations like Poland and those in NATO. However, the risk of Russia employing tactical nuclear weapons in such a conflict is a major concern. Garat explains that Russia has used hybrid warfare tactics in Ukraine for eight years, and if it fails to win there, it might escalate tensions in the Baltic region, potentially inciting insurrections in pro-Russian communities. In such a scenario, Europe would face a difficult decision, as combating Russia conventionally could lead to nuclear retaliation. Garat suggests that the best course of action is to ensure Ucraine does not lose the war and prevent Russia from being militarily defeated, as this could lead to a more dangerous and powerful Russian leader.
  • 01:25:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. Garat*," the speaker discusses the potential for a nuclear war between Russia and other countries, specifically Germany and Ukraine. He explains that Russia's strategic position and the possibility of mutual destruction during the Cold War no longer applies in a multipolar world. The speaker argues that countries with nuclear weapons may attack neighboring countries without them, as they cannot defend themselves. He mentions the case of Ukraine, which gave up its nuclear weapons in exchange for peace and territorial integrity. However, this agreement is seen as insufficient, and the speaker warns of the potential for a nuclear arms race among democratic countries. Putin's use of nuclear weapons against Ukraine would mean acknowledging defeat and being remembered as one of history's great villains. The speaker also mentions Putin's warnings from China and India about the consequences of using nuclear weapons. Despite the risks, the speaker acknowledges that wars have political objectives, and leaders may feel the need to use nuclear weapons to secure their place in history.
  • 01:30:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the nuclear weapons programs of countries like North Korea and Iran, expressing more concern for Iran due to its unpredictable leadership. He also touches upon the importance of the Non-Proliferation Treaty and the need to protect it. The speaker then shifts the focus to Russia and its nuclear arsenal, expressing his belief that Putin would not use nuclear weapons without serious provocation and that there are detectable signs before such an action is taken. He also mentions that he is less concerned about Russia's nuclear weapons than those of Iran or Israel. The speaker shares an anecdote about Putin's past experiences and how they may have influenced his perspective. The conversation then turns to the functionality of Russia's military equipment.
  • 01:35:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. Garat*," the retired admiral discusses the potential for a nuclear war between Russia and the world. He explains that out of 10,000 nuclear warheads Russia possesses, only 1,500 are usable, and even those may not function properly due to the complex nature of the missile system. He emphasizes that even a small percentage of successful launches could lead to catastrophic consequences, including mass casualties and the destruction of people's lives. The admiral also mentions that Putin may not be interested in a military confrontation with Europe but could resort to tactical nuclear weapons instead. He also shares his observation that Russian media often discuss potential attacks and the use of nuclear weapons, which he finds alarming but possibly meant for entertainment rather than a serious threat. The conversation then shifts to the topic of Moroccan naval maneuvers in the Canary Islands waters.
  • 01:40:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the use of international waters, specifically the high seas, for various purposes including military exercises. He emphasizes that countries cannot limit what other navies do economically within their exclusive economic zones, but they must communicate potential hazards to prevent interference with safety of navigation. The speaker also mentions ongoing naval maneuvers by Morocco near the Canary Islands and Spain's traditional interest in maritime freedom. The conversation touches upon disputes between Spain and Morocco over defining their exclusive economic zones, with disagreements existing among several neighboring countries due to ambiguous international norms.
  • 01:45:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses Spain's complex relationship with Morocco, particularly regarding territorial disputes in the Mediterranean and Atlantic. The speaker clarifies that the issue is not exclusive to Morocco but also involves France, Portugal, and Algeria. He explains that the definition of waters is not straightforward and depends on various factors. Spain and Morocco have a history of complicated relations, with Spain maintaining good neighborly relations based on mutual respect for borders. However, Morocco's actions regarding Spain's borders are problematic but not necessarily a military threat. Morocco has taken actions that could be considered the first phases of hybrid warfare against Spain's sovereignty, such as allowing or restricting the access of illegal immigrants. The speaker emphasizes that Spain must understand its own perspective and the importance of its sovereignty and borders, as recognized by the United Nations, to avoid being drawn into an unnecessary escalation. He also stresses the importance of maintaining a strong defense to deter potential aggression.
  • 01:50:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," retired Spanish Admiral J.R. Garat discusses the possibility of a war between Spain and Morocco. He argues that NATO will not support Spain in such a conflict because Ceuta and Melilla are outside Europe, and the Washington Treaty does not address this situation. However, Morocco is arming itself with missiles that can reach Granada, which is within European territory protected by the United Nations. Morocco could attempt to conquer Ceuta and Melilla if it were stronger than Spain, but Spain's military spending is almost double that of Morocco. Additionally, Morocco is a major Western ally in Africa and receives sophisticated weapons from countries like the United States, Israel, France, and Spain. However, Morocco lacks a Putin-like figure and the freedom of action that nuclear weapons provide. If Morocco were to attack Spain, it would not be the same as Russia attacking Ukraine. Some believe that a radicalized Morocco, under a regime similar to ISIS or revolutionary Iran, could attack Spain with the support of Western countries. However, Garat emphasizes that this is not a military concern but rather a political and societal one. The war would not be directed at the military but at the Spanish government and people. Morocco will not initiate such a war because it would be lost. Garat also expresses concern over the spread of authoritarianism in Spain, with 40% of young people believing that an authoritarian government is better than a democracy.
  • 01:55:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker, a retired admiral, discusses the complexities of democracy and freedom of speech in media, specifically in the context of the Spanish and Russian media. He expresses concern over the lack of freedom in Spanish media being privately owned and having specific editorial lines, while acknowledging that a public television should respect freedom. He also touches upon the importance of seeking multiple sources for information and maintaining a critical stance. The conversation then shifts to the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia, with the speaker acknowledging the complexity of the situation and expressing that while he does not support the attack on Ukraine, he has not publicly condemned Russia due to the political nature of the issue. He also notes that Ukraine's President Zelensky is often accused of terrorism by Russia and that the borders between the two countries are not heavily guarded.

02:00:00 - 02:20:00

In the YouTube video "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. Garat*," former Admiral J.R. Garat discusses the possibility of a war between Russia and Ukraine, focusing on the border region of Belgorod. He emphasizes the challenges of taking control of cities like Donetsk and the limitations of Ukrainian military tactics. Garat also addresses the issue of Russian missiles entering Polish territory and concludes that it is not a practical option. The conversation then touches upon the role of embassies in gathering intelligence and the recent controversy surrounding the public display of suspects in Russia. The retired naval officer also shares his perspective on historical context and the importance of informed analysis, encouraging viewers to learn more about complex issues and not to believe everything they hear. Throughout the conversation, Garat emphasizes the need for a moderate and informed perspective on geopolitical conflicts.

  • 02:00:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," former Admiral J.R. Garat discusses the possibility of a war between Russia and Ukraine, focusing on the border region of Belgorod. He mentions that while there have been occasional crossings of the border by Ukrainian forces and Russian volunteers, it is not a heavily guarded front. However, he emphasizes that taking a city like Donetsk, which has been under Russian control for eight years, is practically impossible without a significant collapse of Russia's military. Garat also points out that Ucrania, with Western support, cannot employ the same tactics as Russia, such as encircling cities to force surrender. He concludes by stating that the objective of expelling Russians from the Donbas region is unlikely, and Ucrania would face significant challenges in attempting to take Donetsk. Additionally, he addresses the possibility of Russian missiles entering Polish territory, stating that it is not a practical option due to the time it takes for a missile to travel and the difficulty of intercepting them in Ukrainian airspace.
  • 02:05:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses the possibility of spies in embassies and the recent withdrawal of Colombia's embassador from Argentina. The speaker notes that embassy staff, including military attachés, can legally or illegally gather information. The speaker also touches upon the historical context of Putin's rise to power and allegations of orchestrated attacks to justify military actions. The conversation then shifts to the recent capture of four individuals by Russian forces, suspected to be involved in a terrorist attack, and the controversy surrounding their public display with signs of torture. The speaker criticizes Russia for the optics of this display and the potential for further disinformation campaigns. The conversation also touches upon the declarations of Belarusian President Lukashenko, which allegedly contradicted Russia's narrative, and the subsequent disappearance of those declarations from Russian media.
  • 02:10:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the retired naval officer discusses the possibility of a war between Russia and Ukraine, drawing parallels to the novel "Fail-Safe" where changing the past has no effect. He explains how the Russian naval group in the Mediterranean cannot enter the Mar Negro due to international conventions, and Putin had reinforced the fleet before the war with amphibious landing ships. However, these ships were not intended for actual landings but for logistical support. Putin also planned to deploy anti-aircraft systems to protect Ucrania, but it's impossible to cover the entire country with enough systems. The officer also mentions the possibility of a terrorist attack from the Uighur minority in China, stating that it's a simple and difficult-to-prevent form of warfare.
  • 02:15:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE ¿Es posible una guerra con Rusia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. GARAT*," the speaker discusses various topics related to geopolitical conflicts, including the history of China's reeducation camps during the Cultural Revolution and the current conflict in Ukraine between Russia and Ukraine. The speaker also shares his perspective on the importance of understanding historical context and the potential implications of military strategies. He emphasizes the need for a moderate and informed analysis, rather than sensationalist predictions of nuclear war. The speaker also shares his personal experiences and encourages viewers to continue learning about complex issues and not to believe everything they hear. The conversation lasts for over two hours.
  • 02:20:00 In this section of the YouTube video titled "TAMBORES DE GUERRA EN EL ESTE: Is it possible a war with Russia? 26/03/2023 *ALMIRANTE (r) J.R. Garat*," the speaker expresses his gratitude to the audience for tuning in and emphasizes the importance of seeking multiple perspectives and analyzing information thoroughly. He mentions that his program, Bel un Artis Historia, can be listened to multiple times to gain a deeper understanding of the topic. The speaker also encourages viewers to subscribe to his other channel, Bel un Artis Actualidad Militar, for more content related to military and geopolitical issues. He concludes by urging viewers to share the video, give it a thumbs up, and leave comments to help it reach a wider audience. The speaker identifies himself as a military history expert and reminds viewers that there is only one truth, but some people refuse to see it.

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